Extratime Bets - Friday Night Football

ACCORDING to our calculations, there is a 62.7 per cent chance Drogheda United will score at least two goals in the Airtricity League Premier Division fixture against Bray Wanderers at the Carlisle Grounds on Friday.

As our goal probability distribution data also indicates Bray will score, Over 2.5 goals is our recommendation at the Co Wicklow venue.

There is a 26.9pc chance Drogheda will score precisely two goals. And there is a 34.2pc probability Bray will score exactly one goal.

The sides’ two previous meetings this season both resulted in three or more goals, with Drogheda winning each time. The last time the teams met at the Carlisle Grounds, on Friday, 23 March, Drogheda emerged 4-2 winners.

When the sides last met, at Hunky Dorys Park on Friday, 22 June, Drogheda also won, by a 3-1 scoreline. According to our calculations, there is a 58.7pc probability of three or more goals in this fixture.
 

This equates to ‘true’ odds of 1.7.

With Boylesports, Stan James and Paddy Power a general 1.8 (implied probability 55.5pc) about Over 2.5 goals at the time of writing, the betting odds understate the ‘true’ odds and represent ‘value’.