Extratime Bets

According to our calculations, there is a 68.6 per cent probability that Drogheda United will score at least two goals against Co Louth neighbours Dundalk in the Airtricity League Premier Division at Hunky Dorys Park on Friday (31 August; 7.45pm).

We also note that the betting odds exaggerate the ‘true’ odds of a Drogheda win.

At the time of writing, William Hill were a best 1.62 (implied probability 61.7 per cent) about a Drogheda victory.

Anything shorter than 2.1 (47.6pc chance) should not be taken.

A possible way to go is Drogheda with a notional -1 goal handicap.

As six of Drogheda’s 22 Premier Division fixtures this season have resulted in victories by two-goal winning margins, there is every reason to be confident Mick Cooke’s men can cover this spread.

They have also won by the odd goal on five occasions in 2012.

Bet Victor are a best 2.13 about Drogheda with a -1 handicap.

A caveat to consider is that Dundalk drew 0-0 on their last visit to Hunky Dorys Park on Friday, 16 March.

However, there is only a 9.3pc chance Drogheda will fail to score and a 49pc probability of Dundalk drawing a blank.

The odds of a Drogheda win are in your favour.