League of Ireland Predictions – Gameweek 28

Bray Wanderers (6) v Cork City (2)

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for Cork.

 

The score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, indicates a draw.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Cork. There is a 20.2 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 

 

VERDICT: Cork appear unlikely to lose.



 

Derry City (8) v Drogheda United (11)

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for Derry.

 

The score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, indicates a win for Drogheda.

 



According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Derry. There is a 17.3 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 

 

VERDICT: There is uncertainty of outcome with Derry having two win verdicts to Drogheda’s one.

 

Dundalk (1) v Sligo Rovers (9)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Dundalk.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 3-0 win for Dundalk. There is a 13.8 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 

 

VERDICT: Unanimous, a win for Dundalk.

 

Galway United (10) v Longford Town (7)

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a draw.

 

Rateform indicates a win for Longford.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw. There is an 11.5 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 


 

VERDICT: Longford appear unlikely to lose.

 

Limerick FC (12) v St Patrick’s Athletic (4)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for St Pat’s.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), there is an almost equally likely probability of either a 2-0 or 2-1 win for St Pat’s. There is a 9.1 per cent chance of either occurrence.

 

 

VERDICT: Unanimous, a St Pat’s win, if you feel you can trust them.

 

Shamrock Rovers (3) v Bohemians (5)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Shamrock Rovers.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for the Hoops. There is a 14.4 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 


 

VERDICT: Unanimous, a win for Shamrock Rovers.

 

Athlone Town (6) v UCD (3)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for UCD.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for UCD. There is a 12.6 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 


VERDICT: Unanimous, a win for UCD.

 

Finn Harps (2) v Waterford United (8)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Finn Harps.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 2-0 win for the Donegalmen. There is a 14.9 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 


 

VERDICT: Unanimous, a win for Finn Harps.

 

Shelbourne (4) v Cabinteely (7)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Shelbourne.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 2-0 win for Shelbourne. There is a 13.1 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 


 

VERDICT: Unanimous, a win for Shelbourne.

 

Wexford Youths (1) v Cobh Ramblers (5)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Wexford Youths.

 

According to our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below), the most likely outcome is a 2-0 win for the First Division pacesetters. There is a 10.7 per cent chance of such an occurrence.

 

 

VERDICT: Unanimous, a win for Wexford Youths.