League of Ireland Predictions - Cork City -v- St Patrick's Athletic

  Cork City (2) v St Patrick's Athletic (4)

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for Cork at Turner’s Cross on Monday (7.45pm). The score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, indicates a win for St Pat’s, who are hard to trust right now.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Cork. There is a 16.8 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 36.1pc probability Cork will score exactly one goal. There is a 46.6pc chance St Pat’s will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 2-1 win for St Pat’s. There is a 4.9pc probability of such an occurrence. There is a 13.6pc chance St Pat’s will score precisely two goals.

VERDICT: There is uncertainty of outcome with two wins verdicts for Cork and one for St Pat’s. Also, Cork have yet to beat a current top-four side this season in the league. They have drawn two and lost four of six such encounters.